Wednesday, August 10, 2011

The End of Economics and Society as We Know It ? Beyond Economics

Richard Heinberg?is one of the world?s most effective communicators?on the urgent need for the world to transition to a sustainable future. He takes a big picture perspective of the interconnectedness of economics, energy,?the environment, and society?in his latest book.

Here is an extended excerpt from the first chapter. Links to additional and related?media are included at the end.

We are, and will be, seeing a cavalcade of environmental and economic disasters, not obviously related to one another, that will stymie economic growth in more and more ways?.

Each will be typically treated as a special case, a problem to be solved so that we can get ?back to normal.? But in the final analysis, they are all related, in that they are consequences of growing human population striving for higher per-capita consumption of limited resources, all on a finite and fragile planet?

The result: we are seeing a perfect storm of converging crises that together represent a watershed moment in the history of our species. We are witnesses to, and participants in, the transition from decades of economic growth to decades of economic contraction?

?This book will argue that growth is over because of a convergence of three factors?resource depletion, environmental impacts, and systemic financial and monetary failures. However, a single factor may be playing a key role in bringing the age of expansion to a close. That factor is oil.

?The Industrial Revolution was really the Fossil Fuel Revolution, and the entire phenomenon of continuous economic growth?is ultimately based on ever-increasing supplies of cheap energy?

?In September 2008, the global financial system nearly collapsed. The reasons for this sudden, gripping crisis apparently had to do with housing bubbles, lack of proper regulation of the banking industry, and the over-use of bizarre financial products that almost nobody understood. However, the oil price spike had played a critical (if largely overlooked) role in initiating the economic meltdown?

Meanwhile, the debate about what to do to rein in global climate change exemplified the political inertia that had kept the world on track for calamity since the early ?70s. It had by now become obvious to nearly every person of modest education and intellect that the world has two urgent, incontrovertible reasons to rapidly end its reliance on fossil fuels: the twin threats of climate catastrophe and impending constraints to fuel supplies. Yet at the Copenhagen climate conference in December, 2009, the priorities of the most fuel-dependent nations were clear: carbon emissions should be cut, and fossil fuel dependency reduced, but only if doing so does not threaten economic growth.

The end of growth is a very big deal indeed. It means the end of an era, and of our current ways of organizing economies, politics, and daily life. Without growth, we will have to virtually reinvent human life on Earth.

- Richard Heinberg, The End of Growth

The End of Oil ? chapter summaries and excerpts at The Post Carbon Institute

Videos?by Richard Heinberg (about 6 minutes each)
300 Years of Fossil Fuels in 300 Seconds / Who Killed Economic Growth

Interview of Nate Higgins on ChrisMartenson.com

So I?m not necessarily calling for a stock-market crash in the next decade, but I am calling for within the decade we probably won?t have a stock market. That?s a scary thing to contemplate, but this entire system is based on more every year, and we?ve extended the system by a decade or more by little bells and whistles and allowing people to buy houses with no money down and the repeal of Glass-Steagall. And since 2008, the crash in private and household credit has been made up by government stepping in and providing 11% of our GDP just from deficit spending. And that bullet has now been spent. So the whole thing starts to unravel once they?ve spent all the bullets they have. And I don?t know that it really matters, really; stocks go down 10% or 50% or 100%, we have to restructure the way that we think about society. Competing for nominal, digital wealth is going to go away as the main cultural objective.?

This is?riveting,?in-depth discussion of our economic, environmental, and societal predicament. If you have the time, this really ties it all together. Until recently, Nate Higgins was lead editor of The Oil Drum, one of the most popular and highly-respected websites for the analysis and discussion and global energy supplies, and the future implications of the energy decline that we are facing.?He holds a Master?s Degree in Finance from the University of Chicago and recently completed his PhD in Natural Resources at the University of Vermont. Previously, he was President of Sanctuary Asset Management and a Vice-President at the investment firm Solomon Brothers and Lehman Brothers.

Additional Resources on Peak Oil

Post Carbon Institute
Founded in 2003, Post Carbon Institute is leading the transition to a more resilient, equitable, and sustainable world.

The Oil Drum
The Oil Drum seeks to facilitate civil, evidence-based discussions about energy and its impacts on the future of humanity, as well as serve as a leading online knowledge-base for energy-related topics.

Source: http://beyondeconomics.org/2011/08/08/the-end-of-economics-as-we-know-it/

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